Tickets Information for Phillies vs Red Sox – May 12, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies

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Boston Red Sox

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Zack Wheeler has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 7.3% more often this season (49.3%) than he did last season (42%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Kyle Schwarber’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 94.3-mph EV last year has fallen to 92.2-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-145)
  The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order grades out as the 4th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (+125)
  Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Boston Red Sox bullpen profiles as the 5th-best in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Boston Red Sox – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
  Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)