
Pittsburgh Pirates
@

San Francisco Giants
-105O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-115
(-110/-110)-115
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Bubba Chandler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)Among all starting pitchers, Bubba Chandler’s fastball velocity of 97.9 mph grades out in the 98th percentile this year.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Marcell Ozuna – Over/Under HitsMarcell Ozuna has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Pittsburgh’s 10.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the game this year: #28 overall.Explain: A low launch angle generally means the hitter struggles to lift the ball into the air, which is a key component for power and home runs.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Tyler Mahle – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Tyler Mahle will record an average of 5.2 strikeouts in this outing.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Drew Gilbert – Over/Under Total BasesDrew Gilbert’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 82.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 66.8-mph over the past 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- San Francisco Giants – 2H MoneylineThe San Francisco Giants bullpen projects as the 8th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Rafael Devers – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+160/-205)Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+5.05 Units / 84% ROI)
