Check the Betting Guide and Odds for Pirates vs Giants - Sunday May 10th, 2026

+110O/U: 8
(-115/-105)-130

Bubba Chandler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
Among all starting pitchers, Bubba Chandler’s fastball velocity of 97.9 mph grades out in the 98th percentile this year.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Nick Gonzales – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-250)
Nick Gonzales has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Pittsburgh’s 10.8° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the game this year: #28 overall.
Explain: A low launch angle generally means the hitter struggles to lift the ball into the air, which is a key component for power and home runs.

Tyler Mahle – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Tyler Mahle will record an average of 5 strikeouts in this outing.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
Drew Gilbert – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
Drew Gilbert’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 82.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 66.8-mph over the past 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
The San Francisco Giants bullpen projects as the 4th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Matt Chapman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)

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