Check the Weather for Guardians vs Marlins Game – 7/11/2026

Cleveland Guardians

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Miami Marlins

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Out of all starters, Tanner Bibee’s fastball spin rate of 2155 rpm is in the 19th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Steven Kwan stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Rhys Hoskins – Over/Under Total Bases
  In today’s matchup, Rhys Hoskins is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.5% rate (99th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Miami Marlins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-160)
  Eury Perez is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Miami Marlins offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in the game this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.