Discover Current Player Trends for Orioles vs Guardians - 4/19/26

+100O/U: 6.5
(-120/+100)-120

Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
Tallying 18.2 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Trevor Rogers falls in the 96th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Coby Mayo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.5-mph average last season has dropped off to 82.3-mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst among all the teams in the league.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
Joey Cantillo has gone to his curveball 6.3% less often this year (14.6%) than he did last season (20.9%).
Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Steven Kwan – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)
In terms of his home runs, Steven Kwan has been lucky since the start of last season. His 9.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 1.9.
Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cleveland Guardians – Run Line -1.0 (+140)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Pete Alonso – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+160/-210)
Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)

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