Discover Current Player Trends for Orioles vs Guardians – 4/19/26

Baltimore Orioles

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Cleveland Guardians

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
  Tallying 18.2 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Trevor Rogers falls in the 96th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under Total Bases
  Coby Mayo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.5-mph average last season has dropped off to 82.3-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Baltimore’s 89.5-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season is one of the best in the majors: #8 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Joey Cantillo has gone to his curveball 6.3% less often this year (14.6%) than he did last season (20.9%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Bo Naylor – Over/Under Total Bases
  As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Bo Naylor has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .278 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.