Live Updates on Orioles vs Angels – 6/23/26

Baltimore Orioles

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Los Angeles Angels

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Shane Baz – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Shane Baz’s 95.5-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 79th percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Coby Mayo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-150)
  The Baltimore Orioles projected lineup projects as the 4th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Ryan Johnson – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
  Ryan Johnson has been given less leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 9.3 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Jose Siri – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-115/-115)
  Jose Siri’s speed has increased this season. His 28.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.57 ft/sec now.
  Explain: Fast players tend to get more hits as they leg out groundballs, more extra base hits, and more stolen bases.
• The 9.6% Barrel% of the Los Angeles Angels ranks them as the #4 group of hitters in the majors this year by this metric.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +1.5 (-200)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• Pete Alonso – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-105/-125)
  Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)