Live Updates on Orioles vs Angels – 6/23/26

Baltimore Orioles

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Los Angeles Angels

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Shane Baz – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Shane Baz’s 2419-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 77th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Coby Mayo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Baltimore Orioles have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O’Neill, Colton Cowser, Coby Mayo).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Ryan Johnson – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
  Ryan Johnson has been given less leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 8.7 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Vaughn Grissom – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Vaughn Grissom’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 77-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The 9.5% Barrel% of the Los Angeles Angels ranks them as the #5 group of hitters in the majors this year by this metric.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-120)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Coby Mayo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)