Boxscore for Dodgers vs Twins - 6/23/26 - WriteNow™ by EV Analytics

-170O/U: 9
(-105/-115)+150

Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
Justin Wrobleski has recorded 18.8 outs per start this year, grading out in the 98th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Tommy Edman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+175)
Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+120)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Kendry Rojas in this matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Byron Buxton has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.5-mph in the past two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Minnesota Twins offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-115)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)
Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)

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