Injury Report for Royals vs Tigers – Tuesday, April 14th, 2026

Kansas City Royals

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Detroit Tigers

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Cole Ragans – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
  Cole Ragans has tallied 13.6 outs per GS since the start of last season, checking in at the 6th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Isaac Collins – Over/Under Total Bases
  Over the last 7 days, Isaac Collins’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  In today’s matchup, Jac Caglianone is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (94th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Framber Valdez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Because of his large reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will be at an advantage matching up with 7 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the opposite side in this game.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Riley Greene – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Riley Greene has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.9-mph average to last season’s 96.5-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• The Detroit Tigers (24.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-140)
  Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.30 Units / 67% ROI)