
Athletics
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New York Yankees
+165O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-195
(-110/-110)-195
Athletics Insights
- Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)Because groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Jeffrey Springs (37.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected batting order.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Jacob Wilson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last year’s 84.6-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineThe Athletics bullpen profiles as the 5th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
New York Yankees Insights
- Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)With 7 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Ryan Weathers has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)Sacramento’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Austin Wells, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- New York Yankees – Moneyline (-195)The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+155/-205)Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+1.75 Units / 17% ROI)
