Live Score for Rockies vs Mets – April 24th, 2026

Colorado Rockies

@

New York Mets

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Michael Lorenzen has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.3% more often this season (66%) than he did last year (59.7%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Jordan Beck – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jordan Beck has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 9.6% rate last season has fallen to 2.6% this year.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst among all the teams in the league.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Mets Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Freddy Peralta’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this year (93 mph) below where it was last season (94.1 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Juan Soto will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Mark Vientos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• Brett Baty – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)
  Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 75% ROI)