
Washington Nationals
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Atlanta Braves
+105O/U: 8.5
(-115/-105)-125
(-115/-105)-125
Washington Nationals Insights
- Cade Cavalli – Over/Under StrikeoutsCade Cavalli’s 96.1-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 82nd percentile out of all starters.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Luis Garcia – Over/Under HitsThe leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Washington Nationals – 2H MoneylineThe Washington Nationals bullpen projects as the 2nd-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Martin Perez – Over/Under Pitching OutsMartin Perez has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 8.6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Dominic Smith – Over/Under Total BasesDominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
