
Boston Red Sox
@

Los Angeles Dodgers
+160O/U: 7
(-110/-110)-185
(-110/-110)-185
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (+160)Among every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jarren Duran – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Rating 3rd-least steep in MLB since the start of last season, Boston Red Sox batters collectively have notched a 12.3° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (a reliable stat to evaluate power skills).Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)Yoshinobu Yamamoto is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #3 HR venue in the majors — in this game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 100.7-mph mark last year has dropped to 96.6-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best out of all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.35 Units / 69% ROI)
- Boston Red Sox – Run Line +1.5 (-140)The Boston Red Sox have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+12.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-110/-120)Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)
