Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Phillies vs Braves - Friday, April 24, 2026

+120O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-145

Andrew Painter – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
Andrew Painter has been given less leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 7.9 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Kyle Schwarber has been hot recently, notching 5 homers in the last two weeks.
Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
The 6.8% Barrel% of the Philadelphia Phillies grades them out as the #28 group of hitters in the majors this year by this metric.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Grant Holmes – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
Grant Holmes’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this year (47 compared to 33.3% last year) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
Ronald Acuna Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronald Acuna Jr. in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Dominic Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 55% ROI)
Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)

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