
Milwaukee Brewers
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Los Angeles Angels
-125O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)+105
(-120/+100)+105
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Robert Gasser – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)Robert Gasser’s 91.9-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 23rd percentile among all SPs.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Jake Bauers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)Jake Bauers has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.8-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)In today’s matchup, Christian Yelich is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 42% rate (100th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jose Soriano – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Considering that groundball pitchers have a significant advantage over groundball batters, Jose Soriano and his 55.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this outing facing 5 opposing GB batters.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)Extreme groundball batters like Mike Trout tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Robert Gasser.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 6 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Siri, Denzer Guzman, Mike Trout, Zach Neto, Travis d’Arnaud, Jorge Soler).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
