Injuries Update for Red Sox vs Mets – July 10, 2026

Boston Red Sox

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New York Mets

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (+105)
  The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the best among all the teams on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Jarren Duran – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Mets Insights

• Nolan McLean – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Given that groundball batters have a sizeable advantage over flyball pitchers, Nolan McLean and his 48.9% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in today’s game going up against 2 opposing GB hitters.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Soto as the 9th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• New York Mets – Moneyline (-125)
  The 5th-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the New York Mets.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.