
Athletics
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Chicago White Sox
+155O/U: 8.5
(-115/-105)-175
(-115/-105)-175
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)Given his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale figures to be at an advantage being matched up with 7 batters in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in this outing.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Jonah Heim – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Jonah Heim is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – Run Line -1.5 (+115)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Athletics – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+185/-245)Tyler Soderstrom has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
