
Baltimore Orioles
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Cleveland Guardians
+120O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-140
(-110/-110)-140
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (+120)Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)Coby Mayo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 90.5-mph mark last season has fallen off to 82.3-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Leody Taveras – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Compared to the average starting pitcher, Tanner Bibee has been granted more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an additional 5.3 adjusted pitches each game.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Steven Kwan – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)Steven Kwan has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 1.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
- The Cleveland Guardians (19.8 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 78% ROI)
