Get the Winning Probability and Match Preview for Cardinals vs Phillies – Friday, August 21, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

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Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Hunter Dobbins – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Dobbins in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Everson Pereira, Pedro Pages, Joshua Baez).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Luis Arraez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+165/-215)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen profiles as the 4th-best out of all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +1.5 (-135)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 35 away games (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alec Bohm – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-145/+115)
  Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)