Get Betting Tips and Odds for Reds vs D-Backs - 8/23/2026

+125O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-145

Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
Andrew Abbott has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
JJ Bleday – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)
JJ Bleday has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Dane Myers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Mitch Bratt – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Mitch Bratt has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.14 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.56 — a 1.42 K/9 disparity.
Explain: Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value on K prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.
Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 85.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 81.7-mph over the last week.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Compared to their .317 overall projected rate, the .302 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected batting order in this game suggests this version of the lineup a good deal a bit watered down.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-145)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 62% ROI)
Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-155/+120)
Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)

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