Get the Latest Score Updates for Braves vs Brewers – Sunday August 23, 2026

Atlanta Braves

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Milwaukee Brewers

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-110)
  The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Austin Riley – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Austin Riley has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 96.3-mph in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Shane Drohan – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-200/+155)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shane Drohan to throw 85 pitches in this game (17th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Bauers’s true offensive skill to be a .326, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .053 disparity between that figure and his actual .379 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 8th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 59% ROI)
• Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 20 away games (+13.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+125/-160)
  Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)