Game Time for Guardians vs Brewers - 6/17/2026

+105O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-125

Gavin Williams – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
Compared to the average starter, Gavin Williams has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying an extra 4.4 adjusted pitches each start.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Patrick Bailey – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 11th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Gavin Williams – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Brandon Sproat – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Sproat in this matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Andrew Vaughn – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)
Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Milwaukee Brewers’ bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best out of all major league teams.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-125)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+110/-145)
Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)

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