Score Updates for White Sox vs Rays - 7/31/26

+120O/U: 8.5
(+100/-120)-140

Erick Fedde – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
Erick Fedde has recorded 13.9 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
Chase Meidroth is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Nick Martinez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
Nick Martinez has gone to his four-seamer 9.6% less often this season (11.4%) than he did last year (21%).
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Richie Palacios – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Richie Palacios’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 85.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.8-mph over the past two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Tampa Bay Rays with a 20% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+305/-440)
Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 74% ROI)

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