
Kansas City Royals
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Chicago White Sox
-135O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)+115
(-105/-115)+115
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kris Bubic – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)Kris Bubic’s higher usage percentage of his fastball this year (53.9 vs. 43.9% last year) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)In his last GS, Anthony Kay was firing on all cylinders and gave up 2 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Randal Grichuk – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Anthony Kay – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)Edgar Quero, the White Sox’s expected catcher today, grades out as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).
