See the Updated Player Rankings for Dodgers vs D-Backs - June 3, 2026

-190O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+165

Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
Shohei Ohtani has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 4.2 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than league average.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Will Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
Will Smith is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+155)
With a 4.99 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control), Zac Gallen checks in at the 21st percentile.
Explain: ERA is a bad and misleading stat. FIP is an improved version of it and gives a better estimate of a pitcher’s deserved runs allowed.
Geraldo Perdomo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
Geraldo Perdomo has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph dropping to 80.1-mph over the past 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters on the slate.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – Run Line -1.5 (-115)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Ketel Marte – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+520/-900)
Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+13.40 Units / 167% ROI)

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