Get Expert Player Predictions for Cubs vs Braves - Thursday May 14, 2026

+135O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-160

Ben Brown – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
As a result of his large reverse platoon split, Ben Brown will be at an advantage going up against 6 hitters in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today’s game.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Michael Busch – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline
The Chicago Cubs bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-170)
In his last GS, Chris Sale was rolling and allowed 0 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Michael Harris II – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Michael Harris II has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season’s 90.1-mph average.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Dominic Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+180/-240)
Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+135)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)

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