Guardians vs Yankees Preview and Prediction – Wednesday June 3rd, 2026

Cleveland Guardians

@

New York Yankees

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Gavin Williams – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Among all starting pitchers, Gavin Williams’s fastball velocity of 95.9 mph grades out in the 82nd percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Travis Bazzana – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)
  Travis Bazzana has been lucky this year, posting a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .060 difference.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cleveland Guardians’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Gerrit Cole – Over/Under Hits
  Gerrit Cole projects to average 4.6 hits in this outing, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)
  Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under Total Bases
  Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.