See the Updated Player Rankings for Giants vs Dodgers - May 14, 2026

+150O/U: 8.5
(+100/-120)-170

San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+130)
Landen Roupp is an extreme groundball pitcher (47% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #5 HR venue in MLB — in this matchup.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
Matt Chapman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)
Matt Chapman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)
Today, Heliot Ramos is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.2% rate (93rd percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Emmet Sheehan must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot this year: 59.6% of the time, ranking in the 78th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+180/-235)
Max Muncy has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last season’s 95-mph average.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-170)
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup profiles as the strongest of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 48% ROI)
San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.05 Units / 12% ROI)

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