Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction and Team Stats Analysis – 5/25/26

St. Louis Cardinals

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Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Among all SPs, Matthew Liberatore’s fastball spin rate of 2070 rpm grades out in the 5th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Nolan Gorman – Over/Under Stolen Bases
  Nolan Gorman has averaged 0 steals per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 0th percentile for base-stealing.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-195/+150)
  Recording 17.1 outs per outing this year on average, Jacob Misiorowski ranks in the 75th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• William Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-265/+195)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• The Milwaukee Brewers (20.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.