Twins vs White Sox Injury Report – Monday, May 25, 2026

Minnesota Twins

@

Chicago White Sox

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Zebby Matthews – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  Among all starting pitchers, Zebby Matthews’s fastball velocity of 95.5 mph ranks in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Minnesota Twins – 2H Moneyline
  The Minnesota Twins bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Anthony Kay – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
  Generating 13.9 outs per start this year on average, Anthony Kay falls in the 12th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Drew Romo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Over the last two weeks, Drew Romo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 48% ROI)
• Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+125/-160)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 47% ROI)
• Byron Buxton – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+255/-360)
  Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+9.00 Units / 112% ROI)