
Milwaukee Brewers
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Pittsburgh Pirates
-245O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+205
(-110/-110)+205
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)Jacob Misiorowski’s 2633-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 99th percentile among all SPs.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Hitting from the opposite that Lake Bachar throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Lake Bachar – Over/Under 5.5 Pitching Outs (-215/+165)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Lake Bachar to be on a bit of a short leash in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 66 pitches.Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen ranks as the best out of all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-245)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)
