Blue Jays vs Orioles Game Highlights - Friday, May 29, 2026

+105O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)-125

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Trevor Rogers’s slider usage has dropped by 9.8% from last year to this one (19.2% to 9.4%) .
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Colton Cowser has big-time power (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (31.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Macko is a pitch-to-contact type (5th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best out of all MLB teams.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line +1.5 (-185)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in their last 7 away games (+7.50 Units / 70% ROI)
Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+8.60 Units / 86% ROI)

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