Analyze In-depth Player Analysis for Marlins vs Mets – May 29th, 2026

Miami Marlins

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New York Mets

Miami Marlins Insights

• Max Meyer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Max Meyer’s 2588-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 98th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• The 6.4% Barrel% of the Miami Marlins makes them the #27 group of hitters in Major League Baseball this year by this standard.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

New York Mets Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
  Compared to the average starting pitcher, Freddy Peralta has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an additional 5.0 adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Carson Benge – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Carson Benge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Mark Vientos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games (+20.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Miami Marlins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Carson Benge – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+125/-160)
  Carson Benge has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)