Player Prop Picks for Brewers vs Reds – 6/23/2026

Milwaukee Brewers

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Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Brandon Sproat – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Brandon Sproat will hold the platoon advantage over 7 opposing batters in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Andrew Vaughn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  Andrew Vaughn has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 25.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Nick Lodolo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  In his last GS, Nick Lodolo struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Matt McLain, Eugenio Suarez, Blake Dunn).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+330/-480)
  Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 116% ROI)