Live Score for Pirates vs Athletics – June 16th, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Athletics

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+120)
  In his last start, Mitch Keller was in good form and allowed 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Tyler Callihan – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)
  Tyler Callihan has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 96.6-mph in the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Henry Davis – Over/Under Total Bases
  Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics Insights

• Jack Perkins – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Perkins to throw 84 pitches today (2nd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Cortes’s true offensive ability to be a .316, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .062 disparity between that mark and his actual .378 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Today’s version of the Athletics projected batting order is weaker than usual, as their .327 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .339 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Over/Under 3.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-155)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• Over/Under 11.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• Zack Gelof – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-105/-125)
  Zack Gelof has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 53% ROI)