Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Dodgers vs D-Backs 6/1/26

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Emmet Sheehan’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this year (93.6 mph) below where it was last season (95 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Will Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-155)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order profiles as the strongest of the day in terms of overall batting ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-140/+110)
  Compared to the average pitcher, Eduardo Rodriguez has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 4.3 adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Adrian Del Castillo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+210/-285)
  Adrian Del Castillo has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year’s 90.9-mph average.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Arizona Diamondbacks hitters collectively rank among the worst in MLB this year ( 6th-worst) as it relates to their 88.3-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.