Get Betting Tips and Odds for Mets vs Mariners - 6/1/2026

+110O/U: 7
(-120/+100)-130

New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
Sean Manaea’s high usage rate of his fastball (60.2% since the start of last season) is likely dampening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
MJ Melendez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+105/-135)
MJ Melendez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
New York Mets batters as a group grade out 7th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 9.1% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Emerson Hancock – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+130/-165)
Among all starting pitchers, Emerson Hancock’s fastball spin rate of 2397 rpm grades out in the 77th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Luke Raley – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
Luke Raley has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last year’s 91-mph EV.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Mitch Garver – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Rob Refsnyder – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Rob Refsnyder has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 48% ROI)

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