Get Betting Tips and Odds for Mets vs Mariners – 6/1/2026

New York Mets

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Seattle Mariners

New York Mets Insights

• New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  Sean Manaea’s high usage rate of his fastball (60.2% since the start of last season) is likely dampening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Carson Benge – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Carson Benge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• New York Mets batters as a group grade out 8th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 9.1% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Emerson Hancock – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Among all starting pitchers, Emerson Hancock’s fastball spin rate of 2397 rpm grades out in the 78th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+180/-240)
  This season, J.P. Crawford has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.1 mph compared to last year’s 89.7 mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Mitch Garver – Over/Under Total Bases
  Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.