
Toronto Blue Jays
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Baltimore Orioles
+110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-130
(-110/-110)-130
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future gamesExplain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Trevor Rogers has added a cutter to his repertoire this year and has thrown it 11.8% of the time.Explain: Adding an extra pitch often leads to more success because it makes the pitcher more unpredictable and keeps hitters guessing more, and change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use.
- Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Colton Cowser has big-time power (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Macko is a pitch-to-contact type (4th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
- Baltimore Orioles – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best out of all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line +1.5 (-185)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in their last 7 away games (+7.50 Units / 70% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-250/+190)Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+8.60 Units / 86% ROI)
