Check Out Cardinals vs Brewers Picks and Betting Tips – Wednesday May 27th, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

@

Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Dustin May – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Dustin May has averaged 92.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jordan Walker has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season’s 92.3-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-best out of all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Logan Henderson – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Logan Henderson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting an 11.73 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.78 — a 1.95 K/9 disparity.
  Explain: Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value on K prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• William Contreras – Over/Under Hits
  William Contreras’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.