Check Out Cardinals vs Brewers Picks and Betting Tips – Wednesday May 27th, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

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Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Dustin May – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Dustin May has averaged 92.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Masyn Winn – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped to 84.2-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-best out of all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Chad Patrick – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Chad Patrick’s change-up percentage has dropped by 5.6% from last season to this one (6.4% to 0.8%) .
  Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  As it relates to his home runs, Christian Yelich has been lucky since the start of last season. His 26.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.0.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+150)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 away games (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• William Contreras – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+180/-240)
  William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)