Team Stats and Insights for Orioles vs Blue Jays Match Preview – 9/13/2026

Baltimore Orioles

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Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+150/-195)
  Trevor Rogers has recorded 16.9 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Samuel Basallo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Samuel Basallo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Jackson Holliday – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Jackson Holliday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Dylan Cease – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Dylan Cease has gone to his slider 10.4% less often this year (34%) than he did last season (44.4%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Andrés Giménez – Over/Under Total Bases
  Andres Gimenez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 80.8-mph over the past 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Toronto Blue Jays (19.8 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.