Get the Latest Score Updates for Dodgers vs Marlins - Sunday September 13, 2026

-135O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)+115

Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
Emmet Sheehan’s curveball rate has risen by 5% from last season to this one (6.5% to 11.5%) .
Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Extreme flyball batters like Max Muncy usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Eury Perez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
Eury Perez’s 2679-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 100th percentile out of all SPs.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
Kyle Stowers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 12.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Heriberto Hernandez, Esteury Ruiz, Griffin Conine).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Miami Marlins – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 77% ROI)
Jakob Marsee – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+165/-215)
Jakob Marsee has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+7.30 Units / 49% ROI)

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