Analyze In-depth Player Analysis for Reds vs Brewers – September 13th, 2026

Cincinnati Reds

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Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Chase Burns – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Chase Burns’s 2632-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 97th percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Robert Gasser.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst among all the teams in the league.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Robert Gasser – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Because flyball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over flyball bats, Robert Gasser and his 36.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in today’s matchup being matched up with 2 opposing FB bats.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Brice Turang – Over/Under Total Bases
  Brice Turang has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)
  Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.