
Minnesota Twins
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Chicago White Sox
-110O/U: 8
(-115/-105)-110
(-115/-105)-110
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Zebby Matthews – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Among all starting pitchers, Zebby Matthews’s fastball velocity of 95.5 mph ranks in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Grading out in the 100th percentile, Byron Buxton sports a .522 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
- Minnesota’s 88-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in the majors: #27 overall.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Anthony Kay – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Generating 13.9 outs per start this year on average, Anthony Kay falls in the 12th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Drew Romo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)The switch-hitting Drew Romo will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Zebby Matthews.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
