Game Location for Reds vs Phillies – 5/20/26

Cincinnati Reds

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Philadelphia Phillies

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• TJ Friedl – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
  TJ Friedl is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen grades out as the 10th-worst among all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Aaron Nola – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  In his previous game started, Aaron Nola turned in a great performance and put up 7 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Bryce Harper’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 91.4-mph average last season has dropped to 88.9-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Bryce Harper has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• Otto Kemp – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+145/-185)
  Otto Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 36% ROI)