Game Location for Reds vs Phillies – 5/20/26

Cincinnati Reds

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Philadelphia Phillies

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Spencer Steer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Spencer Steer has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 7.8% rate last season to 15.6% this year.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen grades out as the 10th-worst among all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Aaron Nola – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  In his previous game started, Aaron Nola turned in a great performance and put up 7 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)
  This season, Bryce Harper has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year’s 93.7 mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)
  Bryce Harper has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• Otto Kemp – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+150/-195)
  Otto Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 36% ROI)