Get Expert Player Predictions for Cubs vs Braves - Thursday May 14, 2026

+135O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-160

Ben Brown – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
As a result of his large reverse platoon split, Ben Brown will be at an advantage going up against 6 hitters in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today’s game.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Michael Busch – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Chicago Cubs hitters collectively place 6th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 33.6% rate of hitting their flyballs and line drives 100 mph or greater.
Explain: To hit a home run, the ball must be hit in the air and hit hard enough to clear the fence. This metric is a strong indicator of this kind of power.

Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-175)
In his last GS, Chris Sale was rolling and allowed 0 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Michael Harris II – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Michael Harris II has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season’s 90.1-mph average.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Dominic Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+135)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Matt Olson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)

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