Find the Best Tigers vs Mets Picks and Odds – 5/13/2026

Detroit Tigers

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New York Mets

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Framber Valdez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Framber Valdez (56.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected batting order.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Zack Short – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Extreme groundball bats like Zack Short are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Christian Scott.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Zack Short).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

New York Mets Insights

• Christian Scott – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 79th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
  Marcus Semien is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• New York Mets bats collectively have been one of the best in the league this year (6th-) as it relates to their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150/+120)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+4.35 Units / 7% ROI)
• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)
  Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)