
St. Louis Cardinals
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Pittsburgh Pirates
+115O/U: 8
(-120/+100)-135
(-120/+100)-135
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+115)Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)Jordan Walker has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season’s 92.3-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Mason Montgomery – Over/Under Pitching OutsThe leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Mason Montgomery to have a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Brandon Lowe has averaged 29.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
- Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 24.1% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- JJ Wetherholt – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+105/-135)JJ Wetherholt has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
