Odds and Betting Tips for Cardinals vs Pirates - 4/27/2026

+100O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-120

St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
In his previous game started, Dustin May allowed a staggering 6 earned runs.
Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
Jordan Walker has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95-mph average to last season’s 92.3-mph mark.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Mason Montgomery – Over/Under Pitching Outs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Mason Montgomery to have a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Henry Davis – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Henry Davis has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .229 rate is quite a bit lower than his .297 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
Pittsburgh has performed as the #26 club in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (13.9% rate this year).
Explain: Balls that are hit too low can’t clear the fences, and balls that are hit too high generally don’t go far enough and are easy pop flies, but balls hit between 23° and 34° are far more likely to become home runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+125/-160)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
JJ Wetherholt – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+105/-135)
JJ Wetherholt has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)

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